E ai ki te ECLAC, tata kore te tipu o te GDP i te rohe o Amerika Latina, neke atu i te 2%.
Charles W. Thurston, Kaituhituhi o Amerika Latina03.31.25
I te tau 2024, i piki ake te hiahia nui o Brazil mō ngā rauemi peita me ngā paninga mā te 6%, ā, i piki rua te pikinga o te hua o roto o te motu. I ngā tau kua pahure ake nei, kua hipa ake te tere o te GDP i te ahumahi mā te kotahi, e rua rānei ngā ōrau, engari i te tau kua hipa, i tere ake te ōwehenga, e ai ki tētahi pūrongo tata nei nā Abrafati, te Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"I mutu te mākete peita me te paninga o Brazil i te tau 2024 me ngā hoko rekoata, i hipa atu i ngā matapae katoa i tukuna i roto i te tau. I noho kaha tonu te tere o ngā hoko puta noa i te tau i roto i ngā raina hua katoa, i panaia te tapeke o te rahinga ki te 1.983 piriona rita — 112 miriona rita te nui ake i te tau o mua, e tohu ana i te tipu o te 6.0% — e hipa atu ana i te reiti 5.7% mō te tau 2021, he tau i kiia he tau ke e te umanga," te kōrero a Fabio Humberg, te kaiwhakahaere o ngā umanga whakawhitiwhiti kōrero me ngā whanaungatanga o Abrafati, i roto i tētahi īmēra ki a CW.
"Ko te rōrahi o te tau 2024 — tata ki te 2 piriona rita — te hua pai rawa atu i roto i te raupapa hītori, ā, kua waiho kē a Brazil hei tuawhā o ngā kaihanga nui rawa atu o te ao, e hipa ana i a Tiamana," te kī a Humberg.
Tata kore te tipu ā-rohe
I te rohe o Amerika Latina, tata kore te tipu o te GDP i te neke atu i te 2%, e ai ki te Komihana Ōhanga mō Amerika Latina me te Karipiana o te Kotahitanga o ngā Whenua o te Ao (ECLAC). "I te tau 2024, i piki ake ngā ōhanga o te rohe mā te 2.2% pea, ā, mō te tau 2025, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake te tipu o te rohe ki te 2.4%," te whakatau a ngā kaitātari o te Wehenga Whakawhanake Ōhanga o ECLAC i roto i te Tirohanga Tuatahi o ngā Ōhanga o Amerika Latina me te Karipiana, i whakaputaina i te mutunga o te tau 2024.
"Ahakoa kei runga ake ngā matapae mō te tau 2024 me te 2025 i te toharite mō te tekau tau, ka noho iti tonu te tipu ōhanga. Ko te tipu ā-tau toharite mō te tekau tau 2015–2024 kei te 1%, e tohu ana ki te GDP mō ia tangata kāore i te tino pumau i taua wā," te kī a te pūrongo. Kei te anga atu ngā whenua o te rohe ki tā te ECLAC i kī ai he "mahanga o te iti o te kaha ki te tipu."
Kāore i te ōrite te tipu o te rohe-iti, ā, kei te haere tonu tēnei ia, e ai ki te pūrongo. "I te taumata rohe-iti, i Amerika ki te Tonga me te rōpū e whai wāhi ana ki a Mexico me Amerika Waenganui, kua puhoi haere ngā tere tipu mai i te haurua tuarua o te tau 2022. I Amerika ki te Tonga, ka kitea te puhoi haere ina kore a Brazil e whakaurua, nā te mea ka piki ake te tere tipu o te GDP rohe-iti whānui nā tōna rahi me te pai ake o te mahi; kei te whakawhirinaki haere te tipu ki te kai tūmataiti," te kī a te pūrongo.
"E kī ana te pūrongo, ko te ngoikore o te mahi e ai ki tēnei whakatau tata nei, i roto i te wā waenga, ka tata ki te haurua te whakahekenga o te takoha a ngā ōhanga o Amerika Latina me Karipiana ki te tipu o te ao, e whakaaturia ana i roto i ngā ōrau," te kī a te pūrongo.
Kei raro nei ngā raraunga me ngā tikanga mō ngā whenua matua o Amerika Latina.
Parahi
I tautokona te pikinga nui o te whakamahinga peita me ngā paninga i Brazil i te tau 2024 e te tipu ōhanga whānui o te whenua e 3.2%. He puhoi ake te matapae GDP mō te tau 2025, arā, ko te 2.3%, e ai ki ngā matapae a te ECLAC. He rite tonu ngā matapae a te Peeke o te Ao mō Brazil.
Mō te wāhanga ahumahi peita, he kaha te mahi a Brazil puta noa i ngā poari, ko te wāhanga motuka te kaiārahi. "I tipu ake ngā raina hua katoa mai i te umanga peita me te paninga [i te tau 2024], ko te mea tino kitea ko ngā paninga OEM motuka, i puta mai i muri i te pikinga kaha o ngā hoko motuka," te kī a Abrafati.
E ai ki te Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea), i piki ake ngā hokonga waka hou o Brazil, tae atu ki ngā pahi me ngā taraka, mā te 14% i te tau 2024, ki te taumata teitei rawa atu i roto i ngā tau 10. Ko te hokonga o te tau katoa i eke ki te 2.63 miriona waka i te tau 2024, ā, i whakahokia te whenua ki te tuawaru o ngā mākete nui rawa atu o te ao, e ai ki te whakahaere. (Tirohia CW 1/24/25).
"I kitea hoki te pikinga o ngā hoko o ngā paninga whakahou waka i te tere o te 3.6%, nā te pikinga ake o ngā hoko waka hou – he pānga tēnei ki ngā hoko waka tawhito me ngā whakapaunga ki ngā whakatikatika hei tumanako atu ki aua hoko – me te taumata teitei ake o te whakapono o ngā kaihoko," te kitenga a Abrafati.
I haere tonu te mahi a ngā peita whakapaipai, me te nui o te peita e 1.490 piriona rita te nui (he pikinga 5.9% mai i te tau o mua), e ai ki ngā tatau a Abrafati. "Ko tētahi o ngā take mō taua mahi pai i roto i ngā peita whakapaipai ko te whakakotahitanga o te ia o te tangata ki te tiaki i ō rātou kāinga, kia waiho ai hei wāhi whakamarie, hei piringa me te oranga, kua noho tonu mai i te mate urutā," te whakaaro a Abrafati.
"Hei tāpiri atu ki tēnā ia āhuatanga ko te pikinga ake o te whakapono o ngā kaihoko, i te mea e whakaaro ana ngā kaihoko he nui ake ā rātou mahi me te haumarutanga moni whiwhi, he mea nui tēnei ki a rātou ki te whakatau ki te whakapau moni ki te peita hou i tō rātou whenua," te whakamārama a te perehitini matua o Abrafati, a Luiz Cornacchioni, i roto i te reta.
I tino kaha te tipu o ngā paninga ahumahi, nā ngā kaupapa whanaketanga a te kāwanatanga i tīmata i te mutunga o te tau 2023 i raro i te Perehitini Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Ko tētahi atu mea nui o te tau 2024 ko te mahi a ngā paninga ahumahi, i piki ake te rahinga neke atu i te 6.3% i whakaritea ki te tau 2023. I whakaatuhia e ngā wāhanga katoa o te raina paninga ahumahi he tipu nui, inā koa nā te kaha o ngā hoko o ngā taonga pumau a te kaihoko me te whanaketanga o ngā kaupapa hanganga (i whakaohokia e ngā āhuatanga pēnei i te tau pōtitanga me ngā kirimana i whakawhiwhia ki te rāngai tūmataiti)," te kī a Abrafati.
Ko te hanganga whenua tētahi o ngā kaupapa matua o te Kaupapa Whakaterenga Tipu Hou a te kāwanatanga (Novo PAC), he mahere haumi $347 piriona e aro ana ki ngā kaupapa hanganga whenua, whanaketanga, me te taiao, e aro ana ki te whakawhanake i ngā rohe katoa o te whenua kia ōrite ake (Tirohia te CW 11/12/24).
"Kei roto i te Novo PAC he hononga kaha i waenganui i te kāwanatanga ā-motu me te rāngai tūmataiti, ngā kawanatanga, ngā kaunihera, me ngā kaupapa pāpori i roto i te mahi tahi me te whakapau kaha ki te whakawhiti taiao, te whanaketanga hou, te tipu me te whakaurunga pāpori, me te oranga tonutanga o te taiao," te kī a te paetukutuku perehitini.
Ko ngā kaitākaro nui rawa atu i te mākete peita, paninga me ngā piripiri (NAICS CODES: 3255) ko ēnei tokorima, e ai ki a Dunn & Bradstreet:
• Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, e noho ana i Guarulhos, te kawanatanga o Sao Paulo, me nga hoko tau o te $ 271.85 miriona.
• Henkel, kei Itapevi, te kawanatanga o Sao Paulo, me te $140.69 miriona o ngā hoko.
• Ko te patu i a S/A Tintas e Adesivos, kei Novo Hamburgo, Rio Grande Do Sul state, me te $129.14 miriona i roto i nga hoko.
• Ko Renner Sayerlack, kei Sao Paulo tōna turanga, me te $111.3 miriona o ngā hoko.
• Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, kei Taboao Da Serra, te kawanatanga o Sao Paulo, me te $93.19 miriona i roto i nga hoko.
Āketina
Ko Argentina, e tata ana ki a Brazil i roto i ngā whenua o Southern Cone, kua rite ki te whakahoki mai i te tipu kaha o te 4.3% i tēnei tau i muri i te whakahekenga o te 3.2% i te tau 2024, he mahi nui nā te aratohu ōhanga kaha a te Perehitini Javier Milei. Ko tēnei matapae GDP a te ECLAC he iti ake te tumanako i te matapae a te International Monetary Fund mō te tere tipu 5% mō Argentina i te tau 2025.
E matapaetia ana ka piki ake te hiahia mō ngā peita me ngā paninga whare i roto i tētahi wā e tipu anō ai te whare i Argentina (Tirohia te CW 9/23/24Ko tētahi huringa matua i Argentina ko te mutunga o te pikinga reti me te whakahaere i te roanga o te wā riihi mō te mākete hoko whare noho. I te marama o Ākuhata 2024, i whakakorehia e Milei te Ture Reti 2020 i whakatūria e te ture o mua.
te whakahaere taha maui.
E ai ki tētahi rangahau nā IndustryARC, mā te whakahou i ngā whare noho kua hoki ki te mākete tuwhera ka piki ake te uara o ngā paninga whare ki te tata ki te $650 miriona i te mutunga o te tau 2027 whai muri i te tipu i te tere tipu ā-tau (CAGR) tata ki te 4.5% i roto i te wā e rima tau i waenga i te tau 2022 me te 2027.
Ko ngā kamupene peita me ngā paninga nui rawa atu i Argentina, e ai ki a D&B, ko:
• Akzo Nobel Argentina, e noho ana i Garín, te kawanatanga o Buenos Aires, nga hoko kaore i te korero.
• Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, kei Avellaneda, Buenos Aires, me nga hoko $116.06 miriona ia tau.
• Kei Carlos Spegazzini, Buenos Aires te turanga o Chemotecnica, kāore i whakaaturia ngā hoko.
• Mapei Argentina, e noho ana i Escobar, Buenos Aires, nga hokonga kaore i whakaaturia.
• Akapol, e noho ana i Villa Ballester, Buenos Aires, nga hoko kaore i te korero.
Koromōpia
E matapaetia ana ka hoki mai te tipu o Colombia i te 2.6% mō te tau 2025, ki te whakaritea ki te 1.8% i te tau 2024. He tohu pai tēnei mō te
wāhanga hoahoanga.
"Ko te tono ā-rohe te tino pūtake o te tipu mō ngā tau e rua e whai ake nei. Ko te kai hoko taonga, i kitea he whakaoranga wāhanga i te tau 2024, ka tino tipu i te tau 2025 nā te iti o ngā reiti huamoni me te teitei ake o ngā whiwhinga moni tūturu," te tuhituhi a ngā kaitātari i BBVA i roto i te tirohanga whānui mō te whenua mō Poutū-te-rangi 2025.
Mā te whanaketanga o ngā hanganga, e tīmata ana te piki haere, ka piki ake te hiahia mō ngā paninga ahumahi. Ko ngā kaupapa nui, pērā i te taunga rererangi hou o Cartegena, kua whakaritea kia tīmata te hanganga i te haurua tuatahi o te tau 2025.
"Ko te arotahi a te kāwanatanga ki ngā hanganga, tae atu ki te kawe waka, te pūngao me ngā hanganga pāpori (ngā kura me ngā hōhipera), ka noho tonu hei pou matua o te rautaki ōhanga. Ko ngā kaupapa nui ko te whakawhānui i ngā rori, ngā pūnaha metro me te whakahou i ngā tauranga," te pūrongo a ngā kaitātari i Gleeds.
"I piki tonu te rāngai mahi ā-iwi mā te 13.9% i te hauwhā tuarua o te tau 2024 i roto i tana raupapa whakatikatika ā-wā, whai muri i ngā hauwhā e rima karapīpiti o te whakahekenga. Heoi, koia tonu te rāngai tino whakaroa i roto i te ōhanga katoa, e 36% i raro i ngā taumata i mua i te mate urutā," te tāpiri a ngā kaitātari Gleeds.
Ko ngā kaitākaro nui rawa atu o te mākete e ai ki te whakatauranga a D&B ko ēnei e whai ake nei:
• Ko Compania Global de Pinturas, kei Medellin, te tari o Antioquia, me te $219.33 miriona i roto i ngā hokonga ā-tau.
• Ko Invesa, kei Envigado, Antioquia te turanga, me te $117.62 miriona o ngā hoko.
• Ko Coloquimica, kei La Estrella, Antioquia, me te $68.16 miriona i roto i nga hoko.
• Sun Chemical Colombia, kei Medellin, Antioquia te turanga, me te $62.97 miriona o ngā hoko.
• Ko PPG Industries Colombia, kei Itagui, Antioquia te turanga, me te $55.02 miriona o ngā hoko.
Parakuī
Ko Paraguay tētahi o ngā whenua o Amerika Latina e matapaetia ana ka tino tere te tipu, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake tana GDP mā te 4.2% i tēnei tau, whai muri i te tipu o te 3.9% i tērā tau, e ai ki te pūrongo a ECLAC.
"E kiia ana ko te GDP i Paraguay he $45 piriona i te mutunga o te tau 2024 i runga i ngā utu o nāianei mō te GDP. Ki te titiro whakamua ki te tau 2025, e kī ana ngā matapae ko te matapae GDP o Paraguay mō te tau 2025 he $46.3 piriona pea. Kua tipu te ōhanga o Paraguay i te tere tipu ā-tau toharite o te 6.1% i roto i ngā tau e whā kua pahure ake nei, ā, ko ia te 15 o ngā ōhanga nui rawa atu i Amerika, i mua i a Uruguay," te pūrongo a World Economics, te kaitātari kei Rānana.
He wāhanga nui tonu te hanga iti o te ōhanga o Paraguay. "E ai ki te whakatau a te BCP [Paraguay Central Bank] ka angitu te ahumahi i Paraguay i te tau 2025, me te aro nui ki te rāngai maquila (te huihuinga me te whakaoti i ngā hua). Ko te tirohanga whānui mō te ahumahi he tipu 5%" te pūrongo a H2Foz, i te Hakihea 2024.
Mā te haumi ki ngā hanganga ka taea ai te whakangao i Paraguay.
"I te marama o Hānuere, i pānuitia e te OPEC Fund for International Development (i te marama o Hānuere) kei te whakarato pūtea $50 miriona ki Paraguay hei tautoko tahi i te whakahoutanga, te whakapai ake me te tiaki i te Huarahi ā-Motu PY22 me ngā rori urunga i te tari raki o Paraguay o Concepción. I tautokona tahitia me te pūtea $135 miriona mai i te CAF (Development Bank of Latin America and the Caribbean)," te pūrongo a te Middle East Economy.
Mā ngā rori me te hanganga hōtēra hou ka āwhina i a Paraguay ki te whakawhānui ake i tana umanga tūruhi, e tere tipu haere ana, me te neke atu i te 2.2 miriona manuhiri, e ai ki tētahi pūrongo mai i te Hekeretari Tūruhi o Paraguay (Senatur). "Ko ngā raraunga, i kohia i te mahi tahi me te Tari Hekenga, e whakaatu ana i te pikinga nui o te 22% o ngā taenga mai o ngā manuhiri ki te whakataurite ki te tau 2023," te pūrongo a Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
Te Karipiana
Hei rohe iti, e matapaetia ana ka whakaatu te Karipiana i te tipu o te 11% i tēnei tau, ki te whakaritea ki te 5.7% i te tau 2024, e ai ki te ECLAC (Tirohia te tūtohi matapae GDP ECLAC). Mai i ngā whenua 14 e kiia ana he wāhanga o te rohe iti, e matapaetia ana ka whakaatu a Guyana i te tipu rerekē o te 41.5% i tēnei tau, ki te whakaritea ki te 13.6% i te tau 2024, nā te tere o te tipu o te umanga hinu moana i reira.
E ai ki te pūrongo a te Pēke o te Ao, ko ngā rauemi hinu me te hau o Guyana he "neke atu i te 11.2 piriona oko rite ki te hinu, tae atu ki te 17 tiriona putu kūpiko o ngā rahui hau māori e pā ana." He maha ngā kamupene hinu o te ao kei te haere tonu ki te mahi haumi nui, ā, i arahina ai ki te tīmatanga o te tere whakaputa hinu i te whenua i te tau 2022.
Mā te hua o te moni whiwhi ka āwhina i te waihanga tono hou mō ngā wāhanga peita me ngā paninga katoa. "Ahakoa, i roto i ngā hītori, ko te GDP mō ia tangata o Guyana i roto i ngā mea iti rawa i Amerika ki te Tonga, ko te tipu ōhanga tino whakamiharo mai i te tau 2020, ko te toharite 42.3% i roto i ngā tau e toru kua hipa, i kawe mai i te GDP mō ia tangata ki runga ake i te $18,199 i te tau 2022, mai i te $6,477 i te tau 2019," te Ao
Ngā pūrongo peeke.
Ko ngā kaitākaro peita me ngā paninga nui rawa atu i te rohe iti nei, e ai ki te rapunga a Google AI, ko:
• Ngā Kaitākaro Rohe: Lanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, me Royal.
• Ngā Kamupene o te Ao: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore me Comex.
• Ko ētahi atu kamupene rongonui ko RM Lucas Co. me Caribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
Wenehūera
Ahakoa te nui o te hinu me te hau o te whenua, kua roa a Venezuela e noho ana hei whenua motuhake i Amerika Latina, i raro i te mana o te Perehitini Nicolás Maduro. E matapaetia ana e te ECLAC ka tipu te ōhanga mā te 6.2% i tēnei tau, ki te whakaritea ki te 3.1% i te tau 2024.
Tērā pea kei te whakahē te whakahaerenga a Trump i taua matapae tipu me te panuitanga i te mutunga o Poutū-te-rangi ka whakatakoto te Hononga o Amerika i te taake kawemai 25% ki runga i tetahi whenua e kawemai ana i te hinu o Venezuela, e 90% pea o te ōhanga o te whenua.
I puta te pānuitanga taake i muri i te whakakorenga o te raihana a Chevron ki te kimi me te whakaputa hinu i te whenua i te 4 o Poutū-te-rangi. "Mēnā ka whakawhānuihia tēnei mahi ki ētahi atu kamupene – tae atu ki a Repsol o Pāniora, Eni o Itari, me Maurel & Prom o Wīwī – ka pāngia te ōhanga o Venezuela e te hekenga nui o te hanga hinu mata, te hekenga o te tohatoha penehīni, te ngoikore o te mākete moni ke, te hekenga o te uara, me te pikinga o te pikinga o ngā utu," te whakaaro a Caracas Chronicles.
E whakahua ana te whakahaere pāpāho i tētahi whakarerekētanga tirohanga tata nei mai i Ecoanalítica, e "matapae ana ka heke te GDP mā te 2% ki te 3% i te mutunga o te tau 2025, me te hekenga 20% i roto i te rāngai hinu." Kei te haere tonu ngā kaitātari: "E kī ana ngā tohu katoa ka nui ake te uaua o te tau 2025 i tērā i whakaarohia i te tīmatanga, me te hekenga nui ake o te whakaputanga me te hekenga o ngā moni whiwhi hinu."
Ko Haina tētahi o ngā whenua kawemai matua o te hinu o Venezuela i te tau 2023, i hokona e rātou te 68% o te hinu i kaweakehia e Venezuela, e ai ki tētahi tātaritanga i te tau 2024 nā te US Energy Information Administration, e ai ki te pūrongo a EuroNews. "Ko Spain, India, Russia, Singapore me Vietnam kei roto hoki i ngā whenua e whiwhi hinu ana mai i Venezuela, e ai ki te pūrongo," te pūrongo a te tari pūrongo.
"Engari ahakoa ngā whiu ki a Venezuela, ko te Hononga o Amerika tonu kei te hoko hinu mai i taua whenua. I te marama o Hānuere, i kawemai te Hononga o Amerika i te 8.6 miriona oko hinu mai i Venezuela, e ai ki te Tari Tatauranga, mai i te 202 miriona oko i kawemaihia i taua marama," te kī a EuroNews.
I roto i te motu, kei te arotahi tonu te ōhanga ki ngā whakapainga whare, ā, me whakapiki ake tēnei i te hiahia mō ngā peita me ngā paninga hoahoanga. I te marama o Mei 2024, i whakanuia e te kāwanatanga o Venezuela te 13 tau o tana kaupapa Great Housing Mission (GMVV), hei whakanui i te 4.9 miriona o ngā whare i tukuna ki ngā whānau o te hunga mahi, e ai ki te pūrongo a Venezuelanalysis. Ko te whāinga o te kaupapa he hanga i te 7 miriona whare i te tau 2030.
Ahakoa e māharahara ana ngā kaipupuri moni o te Hauāuru ki te whakapiki ake i te whai wāhitanga ki Venezuela, kei te tautoko ngā peeke maha-taha i ngā kaupapa hanganga, tae atu ki te Peeke Whakawhanake o Amerika Latina me te Karipiana (CAF).
Wā tuku: Mei-08-2025
